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The investment community
is often ignorant or simply misinformed about passive management and
index strategy performance. We correct a few common examples below.
Active
managers do not fare better than indexes in bear markets.
In
2009, as they did in the bear market of 2000–2003, active managers
failed to offer any advantage to investors. A large majority of
actively-managed funds failed to even match their benchmark index. The table below drives the point home,
showing how many stock mutual funds actually underperformed (did
worse than) the stock
index.
Are you paying managers
for underperformance? Is a 60, 70, or 80% chance of doing
worse than an index acceptable to you?
5-Year Period Ending December 31, 2009
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Fund Category
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Comparison Index
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Percent of Funds Underperforming
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Large-cap (all)
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S&P 500
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60.80%
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Mid-cap (all)
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S&P MidCap 400
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77.17%
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Small-cap (all)
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S&P SmallCap 600
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66.60%
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Emerging Markets
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S&P/IFCI Composite
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89.55%
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Source:
Standard & Poor’s Indices Versus Active (SPIVA) Funds Scorecard, March
2010.
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(Find more "apples to apples" comparative data at
Standard & Poor's SPIVA page)
The cost savings with indexing are very significant.
Even if you don’t believe markets are
efficient, here is an example of how costs effect returns. It was used by John
C. Bogle (creator of the first index mutual fund) in a speech he delivered at West
Point, NY on April 6, 2006.
“In 1980—2005 when the return on the
stock market itself averaged 12.5 percent per year, the pre-tax return on the
average mutual fund averaged just 10.0 percent.”
Not seemingly
that
significant, but when he translates this into
dollars compounded over the 25
year period, the difference is astounding.
“In fact, $1000 invested in a simple
S&P 500 Index Fund returned 12.3 percent per year during that period (the market
return of 12.5 percent less costs of just 0.2 percent), growing by $17,080. By
way of contrast, the average equity mutual fund’s return of 10.0 percent grew
that original $1000 by just $9,820, or little more than half as much (57 percent
of the total).”

Fund 5-Star
Morningstar ratings do not forecast future performance.
Choosing
active managers this way is a dangerous pursuit. Known as the
"Five-Star Curse", active managers with stellar performance one quarter
actually are
often the poorer performers the next. The report below is the result of an
independent study.

Click 'Next' to continue to Part 4.

[1. Why indexing?] [2. Inside an index] [3. Evidence it works] [4. Making the choice]
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